Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Trump signs an executive order or implements a formal policy that blocks defense contractors from conducting stock buybacks or issuing dividends. The policy must apply to major defense contractors (defined as those receiving significant Pentagon contracts). Resolution will be based on official White House announcements, executive orders published in the Federal Register, or formal Department of Defense procurement directives. The market resolves NO if no such formal block is implemented by the end of 2026.

• Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve when it closes. The creator has acknowledged that the close date (less than a day away) was set by mistake and will be adjusted.