Will a regulator take action against a Kalshi sports market in 2025?
7
1kṀ2133
resolved Mar 5
Resolved
YES

A sports market is defined as Any contract on which the underlying event refers to a sport, such as game outcomes or sport award, with little economic potential.

Example: "Super bowl winner" and "Next Coach" markets count.

"Which companies will run ads during the Big Game?" and "What songs will be played at the half-time show?" do not count

Esports are included for this market

The regulator could be a federal, state, or local entity. The action could be a lawsuit or administrative procedure, but must have actual hypothetical legal force. If a court blocks the action, this market still resolves YES.

An investigation is insufficient to resolve YES

I will not trade in this market.

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@nikki https://x.com/NevadaGCB/status/1897080391418425855

I think a cease & desist letter counts? i.e. "administrative procedure" with "hypothetical legal force".

@Ziddletwix Resolves yes

Thoughts on adding "try to" to the title?

@MingCat that's ambiguous

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