Kiki or Bouba? - Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are Kiki or Bouba? (add answers)
Basic
13
á¹€365
Jan 1
75%
Money
69%
Kamala Harris
32%
Donald Trump
84%
Nvidia
80%
The year 2024
63%
Destiny
57%
AI
24%
Confusion
63%
League of Legends
92%
Manifold
20%
Tim Walz
20%
France
50%
Usa
50%
Canada
50%
Marijuana

Each answer contains a question: Do you think the person/character/concept is more Kiki (YES) or more Bouba (NO)? Bet YES, or NO, according to your opinion. 1 person = 1 vote (per answer), so having more shares does not make your vote count for more.

Heavily inspired from @Joshua's excellent market,

Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context.

I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.


As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are Kiki, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are Bouba. I will leave the definition of those terms up to you. The amount of shares doesn't matter for the resolution, one share of yes is one vote and one hundred shares of yes is also one vote.

If I think you are voting purely as a troll, such as buying no in every option, I may block you or disregard your votes. Please vote in good faith! But hey, I can't read your mind. Ultimately this market is on the honor system.

Note that market prices will be a bit strange here, because this is simultaneously a market and a poll. If you sell your shares, you are also removing your vote.

The market will close on Dec 31 2024. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.

If there is a clear majority of YES holders, the option resolves YES.

If there is a clear majority of NO holders, the option resolves NO.

It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding a position are also counted.

Some guidelines:

  • I encourage you not to bet options to extremes (1% or 99%) before a quite clear majority has been established. Otherwise, it prevents others from betting toward that extreme, and can bias the results.

I may update these exact criteria to better match the spirit of the question if anyone has any good suggestions, so please leave a comment if you do.

Get
á¹€1,000
and
S3.00

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