Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?
Musk-Zuck MMA Fight
Basic
76
Ṁ9.6k
2025
22%
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based on: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1671364992665264131

resolves if it actually happens.

n/a otherwise

Get Ṁ600 play money

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This is the real test of masculinity btw:

https://manifold.markets/ChristopherKing/will-either-man-back-out-of-the-elo?r=Q2hyaXN0b3BoZXJLaW5n

Will either man back out of the Elon Musk v.s. Mark Zuckerberg cage match?
See https://www.bbc.com/news/business-65981876 for context. I will use my best judgement for number 3. [link preview]

Buying some YES. I think people underestimate the importance of height and mass advantage. Musk looks like a walking cinderblock.

We truly live in a boring dystopia

predicts NO

it’s still early, Musk might have time to train

Elon has the height and weight advantage, I'm not sure a year of BJJ puts things that far in Zuck's favor.

predicts NO

@Sailfish it definitely does imo, but if Musk had sufficient time to train then almost certainly he could close the gap faster than Zuck could extend it

predicts YES

@JoshuaWilkes Maybe, I would guess Zuck realistically should win by points, perhaps I was too hasty. Elon is big though.

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