Conditional on LK-99 replicating, is the latest video of LK-99 exhibiting flux pinning real?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ2.9k

resolved Feb 2

Resolved

N/A

ALL

This is a derivative of (A):

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025? | Manifold

and (B):

Is the latest video of a supposed sample of LK-99 exhibiting flux pinning real? | Manifold

Resolves "N/A" when (A) is resolved as "NO".

Resolves "YES" when (A) and (B) are resolved as "YES".

Resolves "NO" when (A) is "YES" and (B) is "NO".

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@mods I can't resolve this to N/A with the error "Negative payouts too large for resolution. Contact admin or mod".

predictedNO

What is your opinion on N/Aing this when (A) reaches 5% for a while, or even sooner?

predictedNO

@gigab0nus I mean (B) is at 3% and (A) is at 12%, so this one is obviously mispriced. This should trade in the area of 0% to 25% right now, but noone seems to care about arbitraging since they expect this one will be N/Ad.

Since (B) strongly implies (A) and they both have a very similar price at the moment, this should be at around 100%.

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