Will this market be in the interval [30-40] OR [60-70] when the question closes on February 8th?
42%
chance

Yes if "chance" is between 30% and 40% OR 60 and 70% including endpoints.

No if the chance is between 1% and 29% OR 41% and 59% OR 71% and 99%.

N/A if it's less than 1% or more than 99%