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MANIFOLD
Will AI find vulnerabilities that couldn't have been found by an elite human researcher?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ68
2028
50%
chance

From https://blog.mozilla.org/en/privacy-security/ai-security-zero-day-vulnerabilities/:

Encouragingly, we also haven’t seen any bugs that couldn’t have been found by an elite human researcher. Some commentators predict that future AI models will unearth entirely new forms of vulnerabilities that defy our current comprehension, but we don’t think so. Software like Firefox is designed in a modular way for humans to be able to reason about its correctness. It is complex, but not arbitrarily complex.

By 2029, will this turn out to be false?

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