SBF serves time in Federal Supermax prison before 2030

210Ṁ204

2029

14%

chance

ALL

Resolves as YES if Sam Bankman-Fried is incarcerated in a high-security federal prison before 2030.

Data to come from a reputable news source or press release from an appropriate government institution.

FTX Insolvency Crisis

Sam Bankman-Fried Trial (1st)

Get

1,000

to start trading!

2 Comments

6 Holders

12 Trades

Sort by:

Madoff was in FCC Butner, which is a medium/low-security prison. I don't expect SBF to serve in a prison with a different level of security.

SBF is probably going to take a plea deal with one of the conditions being that he be placed in a reasonably nice prison.

However, if he continues his current delusional legal 'strategy' of going on a neverending "I'm totally guilty" interview tour, he may end up bunking with Ted Kaczynski.

People are also trading

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2025?

89% chance

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2050?

14% chance

Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?

80% chance

Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029

82% chance

Will SBF spend at least three years in prison?

92% chance

Will SBF spend at least a decade in prison?

75% chance

When will SBF be released from prison

Will SBF receive a pardon or have his sentence commuted by 2030?

27% chance

How much time will SBF serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?

Will SBF spend at least five years in prison?

89% chance

People are also trading

Related questions