SBF serves time in Federal Supermax prison before 2030
FTX Insolvency Crisis•Sam Bankman-Fried Trial (1st)
9
84
Ṁ210
2029
14%
chance

Resolves as YES if Sam Bankman-Fried is incarcerated in a high-security federal prison before 2030.

Data to come from a reputable news source or press release from an appropriate government institution.

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bought Ṁ10 of NO

Madoff was in FCC Butner, which is a medium/low-security prison. I don't expect SBF to serve in a prison with a different level of security.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

SBF is probably going to take a plea deal with one of the conditions being that he be placed in a reasonably nice prison.

However, if he continues his current delusional legal 'strategy' of going on a neverending "I'm totally guilty" interview tour, he may end up bunking with Ted Kaczynski.

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