MANIFOLD
Will the people of Minneapolis win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
5
Ṁ1kṀ838
Dec 31
5%
chance

https://www.thenation.com/article/activism/the-nation-nominates-minneapolis-for-the-nobel-peace-prize/

I will be quite flexible in interpreting this. Examples of 2026 Prize winners which would result in a YES resolution include:

  • the people of Minneapolis and/or St Paul

  • the people of Minnesota

  • Renee Good and/or Alex Pretti

  • any other notable victim of Trump admin violence in Minnesota

  • any other prominent ICE/CBP protester in the twin cities, e.g. Will Stancil

  • any Minnesota politician associated with opposing ICE/CBP

For a YES resolution there must be both a clear connection to the ICE/CBP protests and a geographic connection to Minnesota/Minneapolis.

The following would resolve NO:

  • The anti-ICE/CBP protesters generally, without specifically singling out Minnesota. (“The protesters in Portland and Minneapolis” would resolve 50%.)

  • A Minnesotan who isn’t prominently associated with the anti-ICE/CBP protests.

There will be gray areas; I may use a partial resolution for cases that are ambiguous or divided. I will not bet on this market.

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