MANIFOLD
Will there be a DFL trifecta in Minnesota after the 2026 election?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ75
Nov 3
75%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the DFL wins majorities in both the Minnesota House of Representatives and Minnesota Senate, as well as the Minnesota governorship, in the November 3, 2026 general election. All three conditions must be met simultaneously for a YES resolution.

For the House: The DFL must win at least 68 of 134 seats. For the Senate: The DFL must win at least 34 of 67 seats. For the Governor: The DFL candidate must win the gubernatorial election.

Resolution will be determined by official results from the Minnesota Secretary of State's office at https://www.sos.mn.gov/election-administration-campaigns/elections-calendar/

Background

All 67 seats in the Minnesota Senate will be up for election in 2026, with the DFL currently holding a majority of 34 seats and the Republican Party holding 33. Currently, 67 seats are held by Republicans and 67 seats are held by DFLers in the House, following a tie in the 2024 election. The 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with primary elections scheduled for August 11, 2026.

This description was generated by AI.

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