Which Rock-Paper-Scissors play will beat the play which reaches 51%? (Default to Rock)
4
100Ṁ440
resolved Nov 4
100%96%
Scissors
1.6%
Rock
3%
Paper

The first time a play reaches 51% (according to the displayed numbers) this question will resolve to the play which beats that play. (For example, if Paper reaches 51%, the question resolves to Scissors.) If the close time is reached without any option reaching 51%, the question will resolve to Rock.

Fun
Unranked
Unranked
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ103
2Ṁ4

People are also trading

Sort by:

Similar market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/rockpaperscissors-will-other-hand-g

bought Ṁ200 YES

Paper reached over 51%. Resolves scissors?

@Fion Yep, looks like it. Well played lol.

bought Ṁ5 YES

There's no incentive for people to push scissors to 51pct, no?

@notbayesian nevermind

@notbayesian I think there are situations where someone has an incentive to rush Scissors to force an early Rock resolution?

@moobunny I can't see that intuitively. But Fion move proved me wrong

@notbayesian Well, Fion forced Paper 51% and then bought out the liquidity pool before resolution.

@moobunny yeah it would have been harder to game if resolution was automated and instant. But even then I'd have made a little bit by buying Rock NO until Paper went over 51%.

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy