MANIFOLD
When will ClaudePlaysPokemon defeat Giovanni in Silph Co?
17
Ṁ1kṀ17k
resolved Dec 14
Resolved
December 14, 2025
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 5
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 6
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 7
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 8
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 9
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 10
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 11
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 12
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 13
Resolved
NO
Before Dec 14

All dates are Pacific Time. Based on the current run only; if it is reset before defeating Giovanni all answers resolve NO.

  • Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator will not resolve early even if the outcome becomes impossible before the market closes.

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Claude
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poor claude :c
but we continue here: https://manifold.markets/moobunny/when-will-claudeplayspokemon-defeat-I88dLqAIqN?r=bW9vYnVubnk

@moobunny i feel bad for profiting off Claude's failures :(((

@moobunny resolve unfortunately :(

@prismatic Still an hour and a half left in Pacific Time, and I don’t resolve early even if it’s impossible.

@moobunny ah I’m in a different time zone

bought Ṁ50 NO

@moobunny add more days?

@prismatic I don’t think I can? Maybe I’ll set up a new question with bigger buckets.

@traders extended edition! https://manifold.markets/moobunny/when-will-claudeplayspokemon-defeat-I88dLqAIqN?r=bW9vYnVubnk

bought Ṁ15 YES

Third visit to the key at step 46,444! https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon/clip/HeartlessSplendidUdonANELE-oxM9MRLknR9A_esm

bought Ṁ5 YES

@moobunny (He's still recognizing it as an NPC)

sold Ṁ41 YES

https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon/clip/CovertSoftFinchTwitchRPG-_O4YyKVWrEdDxBsv

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