Will the official ClaudePlaysPokemon stream complete Pokémon Red?
40
1kṀ7546
2027
89%
chance

Stream link: https://twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon

Resolves NO if the stream is inactive for over 10 days, unless an announced return date within 3 months is given, or an implied 3 months if no exact date is specified. If an announced return date passes with no stream after a week, resolves NO. The stream resuming resets all of these counters.

Resolves YES if the ClaudePlaysPokemon Twitch account defeats the Champion and enters the Hall of Fame.

Market context
Technology
AI
Gaming
Pokemon
Streaming
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Why does this close on Jan 1? Anthropic might continue running the channel for years.

@AhronMaline because I made this market when I thought they were gonna do it for a month or two, tops, lol. Extended

bought Ṁ150 YES

@MingCat Great, that makes a big difference! I think they'll continue until either Claude wins or Anthropic closes down

Is there a reason this went up 12% yesterday?

@JeremyRich

Arb with https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/will-claude-become-a-pokemon-master-ng2zSA9ync?r=QWhyb25NYWxpbmU

bought Ṁ50 YES

@AhronMaline So no, because that one ends at the end of the year and this one doesn't

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