(https://player.twitch.tv/?channel=claudeplayspokemon&parent=manifold.markets)Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Remains Open: The market will remain open even if ClaudePlaysPokemon stops streaming. It does not automatically resolve to other if the streamer gives up, and will continue waiting for the next successful attempt.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Other, followed by June 2026 and August 2026 are most likely. See the market for live updates (43 traders, as of Apr 20, 2026).

When with ClaudePlaysPokemon beat Pokemon Red/Blue?

Ṁ1.3kṀ10k

2027

50%

Other

15%

June 2026

13%

August 2026

May 2026

July 2026

April 2026

Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market Remains Open:
- The market will remain open even if ClaudePlaysPokemon stops streaming.
- It does not automatically resolve to other if the streamer gives up, and will continue waiting for the next successful attempt.

Market context

Anthropic

Pokemon

Twitch

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1,000

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What will happen during Claude Opus 4.6 Plays Pokemon?

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Will Claude beat Pokemon before my 4-year old?

87% chance

Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2026?

84% chance

Will Claude Become a Pokemon Master before 2027?

87% chance

Will an AI be able to beat me in Pokemon?

24% chance

would claude 4 beat gpt5 in a game of go?

29% chance

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Oh wft I just noticed that May 2026 is missing. @strutheo can you add it? And maybe also July, August...

bought Ṁ8 YES

I bet April up - I think very likely this run will get stuck on the Victory road boulder puzzles, and then the next model will come out in March and beat the game in April