Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2026?
5
100Ṁ822026
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Claude is off playing Pokemon Red! This market resolves YES if Claude beats the game (Elite 4 + Rival) by the end of 2026, and NO otherwise.
Any approach Anthropic uses is fine, as long as they consider themselves to have beaten the game. It does not necessarily have to be the stream itself, or Pokémon Red (but it should be a “regular” Pokémon game).
See also: https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/will-claude-become-a-pokemon-master-ng2zSA9ync
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@JoshSnider I'm sure we will, and I'm not certain, but if it's being done the way it looks like it's being done I don't think the LLM will succeed.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Claude Become a Pokemon Master before 2027?
97% chance
Will Claude beat Pokemon before my 4-year old?
87% chance
When with ClaudePlaysPokemon beat Pokemon Red/Blue?
Will the official ClaudePlaysPokemon stream complete Pokémon Red?
89% chance
What milestones will the (on-screen) Step Count reach in ClaudePlaysPokemon?
Will Claude Opus be ranked in the top 20 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard two years from today (3/10/24)?
6% chance
Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2025?
5% chance
What will happen during Claude Opus 4.5 Plays Pokemon?
By the end of 2025, will any AI beat Pokemon Emerald Version without human assistance?
9% chance
Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?
1% chance