Okay, I've dragged my feet making this long enough: it's time to play EVIL Hangman!
Current progress: _ _ _ _ _ _
Wrong guesses:
How this works: Each day, at around 2 PM Pacific Time, I'll check which letter has the highest %; that letter will be the players' guess for that day. I'll reveal all the places that letter appears in the word, if any, and resolve that letter to YES if it appears in the word and NO if it doesn't. Easy enough?
The EVIL Twist: The word isn't decided ahead of time. Instead, I've randomly chosen - subject to some constraints - a list of one hundred six-letter English words which are possible answers. When I reveal information and resolve letters, it will be in the way that reveals the least information about the final answer - that is, it will be in the way that rules out the fewest remaining words on the list.
Once all the letters in the word have been guessed and revealed, every remaining letter will resolve according to whether that letter is in the word.
This market is unranked because the outcome depends on the betting. Obviously, I won't be betting on this market.
Have fun!
Linked markets:
Guess the winning word and win a prize! https://manifold.markets/moobunny/what-will-the-winning-evil-hangman
How many wrong guesses will there be? https://manifold.markets/moobunny/how-many-wrong-guesses-will-there-b
Word list precommitment (SHA-256): 0386338504cdb6e0c3d27c267a84044b4fcc93b9157cdb14e6c6351c96456a92
There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.