[Metaculus] Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025?
10
114
280
2025
13%
chance

Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2025, credible sources report that TikTok US will be (or has been) sold to a US company, foundation, or entity. The transaction need not be complete in 2024 but must at least be announced in 2024. For a transaction to count, more than 50% of TikTok US has to be sold.

If TikTok is not sold before 2025, or is banned within the US and remains banned for the entirety of 2024, this question will resolve as No.

If TikTok successfully conducts an initial public offering by end of 2024, this question resolves ambiguously.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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