Who will be the owner of TikTok at the end of 2025?

44

Ṁ1.1kṀ6.9k

resolved Jan 1

100%97%

Bytedance

0.0%

Meta

0.1%

Steven Mnuchin (and investors)

0.5%

Oracle

0.0%

Alphabet

0.0%

Microsoft

0.0%

Apple

0.0%

X.com

0.0%

Saudi Investment Fund

0.0%

Kevin O'Leary (and investors)

0.0%

Bobby Kotick (and investors)

0.0%

Chris Pavlovski (and investors)

0.0%

Walmart

0.0%

Jeff Yass (and investors)

0.0%

Snap

0.4%

Larry Ellison (and investors)

0.1%

TikTok America

0.1%

Andreesen Horowitz

0.8%

Silver Lake

0.9%Other

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Conditional on the Tik-tok bill being passed, will the US government force a change in Twitter's ownership by 2030?

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@mods resolves to Bytedance (proposed TikTok deal only goes through on 1/22). Market creator is banned.

bought Ṁ656 NO

@BTE https://www.reuters.com/business/american-investor-consortium-acquire-tiktok-us-entity-axios-reports-2025-12-18/

bought Ṁ350 YES

@Hakari I'll put up a limit order ByteDance YES at 45%

bought Ṁ250 YES

@spiderduckpig No way it goes thru

@spiderduckpig article states "ByteDance, on Thursday signed binding agreements"

@Hakari feel free to buy more

@Hakari nah I already bought too much. Shouldn't have gone beyond 2% of NW for a question like this. Too late to de-risk now smh.

How does it resolve if ownership is split?

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Conditional on the Tik-tok bill being passed, will the US government force a change in Twitter's ownership by 2030?

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Conditional on the Tik-tok bill being passed, will the US government force a change in Twitter's ownership by 2030?

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