Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as 'Yes' if, on May 31, 2024, there is an active United Nations-led peacekeeping operation physically present in the Gaza Strip. For the purposes of this question:

• An 'operation' is defined as any UN-led mission that includes peacekeeping troops, advisors, or observers officially deployed in a capacity recognized by the UN Security Council.

• The presence must be confirmed through an official announcement or mission update on the UN Peacekeeping: Where We Operate page.

• If the primary source is unavailable or not updated, resolution will be based on official statements from the United Nations or reports by at least two reputable international news organizations.

• The presence of any form of a UN delegation or individual personnel engaged in diplomatic discussions, without an accompanying peacekeeping mandate, does not fulfill the resolution criteria. Neither does the presence of members of the UN Palestine Refugee Agency (UNRWA).

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.