Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve Yes if, before January 1, 2026, the International Criminal Court brings charges against Benjamin Netanyahu.

Per the Rome Statute—the founding statute of the ICC—the court may bring charges within the following categories:

• Genocide

• Crimes against humanity

• War crimes

• Crimes of aggression

• Offences against the administration of justice

The ICC announcing either an indictment, summons, or an arrest warrant is sufficient for a Yes resolution.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.