Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve based on the status of these coordinates on the Institute for the Study of War's Ukraine Interactive War Map when accessed by Metaculus on October 1, 2024:

48°35'13.7"N 37°50'02.1"E

If this point on the map is under Russian control on that date, this question will resolve as Yes. If it is not under Russian control, it will resolve as No.

DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS:

1. Go to the ISW map page here

2. Scroll down to the interactive map.

3. If the search box is not visible, click the 'X' on the top of the legend overlay on the left side of the map to close it.

4. Paste these coordinates into the search box: 48°35'13.7"N 37°50'02.1"E

This question will resolve as Yes if the location is marked on the map as Russian-controlled. This includes the following, generally with shades of pink, red or yellow:

• Assessed Russian Control

• Assessed Russian Advance in Ukraine

• Claimed Russian Territory in Ukraine

This question will resolve as No if the location is not marked on the map as Russian-controlled. This includes:

• Areas with no coloration

• Areas marked as one of the following, generally in shades of blue: Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours, Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives, or Ukrainian Partisan Warfare.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.