[Metaculus] Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
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resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, after October 9, 2023, and before January 1, 2024, credible sources report that Israel has carried out an attack with damage occurring within the borders of the country of Iran that has killed at least five Iranians, and that either of the following is true:

  • Israel has explicitly acknowledged and taken credit for the attack

  • Israel performed the attack in an unobscured manner, such that credible sources report without ambiguity that the attack was carried out by Israel.


This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.

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https://m.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-779498 For those interested in cross-posting!