[Metaculus] Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?
6
14
150
2028
21%
chance

Will any top 10 global meat processor/producer go bankrupt before 2028?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if Cargill, Tyson Foods, Hormel, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, or any of their parent companies file for bankruptcy by January 1, 2028, according to credible financial media reports.

  • This question will resolve positively if Cargill, Tyson Foods or Hormel (or any of their parent companies) submits a court filing seeking bankruptcy protection under any provision of the United States Bankruptcy Code, or if Muyuan Foods or Wens Foodstuff Group (or any of their parent companies) apply for bankruptcy proceedings in China. It will also resolve positively if Kerry Group applies for bankruptcy proceedings in Ireland, JBS in Brazil, the WH Group in Hong Kong, Mowi ASA in Norway, or the Marubeni Corporation in Japan.

  • Positive resolution requires a filing only. No court ruling needs to be made.

  • If any of the relevant companies are acquired or merged, and the new entity files for bankruptcy within two years of the acquisition or merger, the question will resolve positively


This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.

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