Will any lab-grown meat product capture at least 10% market share (by revenue) in any major national market (defined as G20 countries) by the end of 2027? Resolution based on market share data from Meticulous Research (https://www.meticulousresearch.com/product/lab-grown-meat-market-5293) or equivalent market research firm.

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 6% chance (8 traders, as of Nov 15, 2025).

Lab-grown meat product achieves 10% market share in any major national market by 2027

Which fast food chain in the USA will offer a lab-grown / cultivated meat product first?

Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035

73% chance

Will lab-grown meat become more popular than traditional meat in any country by 2030?

4% chance

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

2043

Will I eat lab-grown meat by 2030?

75% chance

When will cultivated meat hit 5% of meat revenue in the US?

2051

Will lab-grown foie gras hold over 20% market share in the U.S. by 2026?

21% chance

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

8% chance

Will an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?

65% chance

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

32% chance