[Metaculus] Before July, will the ICC issue arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant or Halevi?
20
96
แน5kแน100
Jul 2
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if before July 1, 2024, the International Criminal Court (ICC) issues a warrant of arrest for any of the below listed Israeli cabinet members. It will resolve as No otherwise.
Benjamin Netanyahu (Prime Minister)
Yoav Gallant (Defense Minister)
Herzi Halevi (IDF Chief of Staff)
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Will the International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu by the end of July 2024?
56% chance
Will the ICC indict Netanyahu for war crimes before January 1st 2025?
67% chance
Will an Israeli military/political leader be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court before 2026?
98% chance
Who will the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue arrest warrants for in 2024?
[Metaculus] Will any Israeli officials charged by the International Criminal Court before 2027?
85% chance
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
75% chance