[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?
Plus
76
Ṁ9313Jan 2
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, credible sources report that there have been 10 or more deaths among the overtly flagged members of the armed forces of India and Pakistan caused by confrontation with the armed forces of the other nation. This includes accidents, such as vehicle collisions.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
1% chance
Which of these military conflicts will "turn hot" in 2024?
Will India have a big communal violence in 2024? (More than 100 casualties)
26% chance
[ACX 2024] Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?
3% chance
Will India go to war by 2025?
8% chance
Will the Sino-Indian border dispute cause conflict before 2025?
30% chance
Will another Indian assassination attempt be foiled (or succeed) in 2024?
45% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan in 2024?
5% chance
Will another serviceman (US Active military) be killed in 2024
54% chance
Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?
3% chance