[ACX 2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
62
235
Ṁ5KṀ1K
2025
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if year over year core CPI inflation (CPI excluding food and energy) exceeds 3% from December 2023 to December 2024, according to seasonally adjusted data when first published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?
50% chance
[ACX 2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
10% chance
Will the U.S. 12-month percent change in CPI-U for all items be less than 2% at the end of 2024?
24% chance
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for June 2024?
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for August 2024?
Will the United States' inflation rate be above 3% in 2023, 2024, and 2025?
10% chance
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for September 2024?
Will the CPI in the US exceed 10% on a year-over-year basis at any point before 2026?
21% chance
Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
58% chance
US Core Inflation: what will be the reported monthly change for November 2024?