Will the Houthis sink a second ship before 2025?
42
1kṀ19k
resolved Jun 19
Resolved
YES

It's been confirmed the Houthis sank their first ship in the Red Sea, the Rubymar. This market resolves YES if they manage to sink another one.

Sink means to damage so catastrophically it sinks on its own, or is not salvageable so it is purposely sank by a third party. Small ships are excluded, the ship must be over 100 feet long.

World
Middle East
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Yemen
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ467
2Ṁ213
3Ṁ133
4Ṁ87
5Ṁ59

People are also trading

Will any navy ship of more than 2,000 tonnes be sunk in ship-to-ship combat before 2036?
51% chance
Will one of the USA's aircraft carriers be sunk in 2025?
3% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion in Yemen against the Houthis in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?
13% chance
Will Iran cause a halt or full shutdown to oil tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2025?
9% chance
Will the US win the war against the Houthis in a year? (Read description)
32% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
14% chance
Will the Houthis cut any Red Sea fiber optic cable in retaliation to US/UK attacks?
5% chance
Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033
19% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ3,500 YES

@traders There is now a new market for a third sinking:

bought Ṁ7,000 YES

@mint resolves YES: https://apnews.com/article/houthi-rebels-ship-attack-red-sea-yemen-bfa7d321e55c5bb59b268b82ef3c56ba

https://x.com/CENTCOM/status/1791851421152743816

Lol, nice try guys

Does this market resolve only for ships sunk by Houthis in the Red Sea or does it apply to anywhere in the world?

@tc anywhere in the world.

People are also trading

Will any navy ship of more than 2,000 tonnes be sunk in ship-to-ship combat before 2036?
51% chance
Will one of the USA's aircraft carriers be sunk in 2025?
3% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion in Yemen against the Houthis in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?
13% chance
Will Iran cause a halt or full shutdown to oil tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2025?
9% chance
Will the US win the war against the Houthis in a year? (Read description)
32% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
14% chance
Will the Houthis cut any Red Sea fiber optic cable in retaliation to US/UK attacks?
5% chance
Will the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033
19% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy