MANIFOLD
More Houthi attacks in the Red Sea by when?
4
Ṁ1kṀ2.8k
Jul 1
April 28, 2026
45%
Before Apr 2026
50%
Before May 2026
55%
Before Jun 2026
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ791 NO at 5% order

@draaglom Before Mar 2026 should resolve NO, there have been no documented actual Houthi attacks in the Red Sea between Jan 26th and March 1st despite more Houthi threats of action.

Seems right to me, on a search:

https://gcaptain.com/houthis-signal-renewed-red-sea-shipping-attacks-after-u-s-israeli-strikes-on-iran/#:~:text=As%20of%20Saturday%20evening%2C%20no%20confirmed%20new%20maritime%20strike%20had%20yet%20been%20independently%20verified%20in%20connection%20with%20the%20latest%20Houthi%20statements.%20However%2C%20naval%20and%20commercial%20operators%20across%20the%20region%20have%20elevated%20threat%20levels%20and%20activated%20contingency%20protocols.

As of Saturday evening [Feb 28th], no confirmed new maritime strike had yet been independently verified in connection with the latest Houthi statements. However, naval and commercial operators across the region have elevated threat levels and activated contingency protocols.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy