Will the Wagner group invade Poland in 2023?
33
610Ṁ7193resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
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1D
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This market resolves as YES if an episode occured in 2023 meets all of the following conditions:
At least 50 armed Wagner personnel enter Poland.
They fire against any number of persons opposing their presence.
Their actions are not condemned by whoever is the de facto leader of Wagner at the time.
If Wagner ceases to exist before such an episode and in 2023, this market resolves as N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@higherLEVELING No statement or acknowledgement from Wagner is necessary for positive resolution.