If Donald Trump is elected US President in 2024, will he die in office?
23
1kṀ1261Nov 6
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he is not elected, this market will resolve N/A.
Note: This market closes on Election Day.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump Die in 2026
5% chance
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
22% chance
When will Donald Trump die?
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
16% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
15% chance
Will Trump be assassinated during his second term?
11% chance
Will the president elected in 2028 die in office?
13% chance
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
18% chance
Will the US President of the 2024-2028 term die while being the President?
19% chance
Will Trump die within 1 year after leaving office?
11% chance