Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
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2kṀ39kresolved May 12
Resolved
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Trump has claimed he will impose a 60% tariff on China.
This market will resolve to YES if Trump wins the presidency, and then he imposes a 60% tariff (or greater) on at least most imports to the US from China before the end of 2025.
If Trump imposes a tariff in excess of 60%, that does count as a YES.
If Trump imposes a tariff less than 60%, that does not count.
If Trump does not win the presidency, the market resolves to NO, even if the winner imposes a tariff.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@meanderingexile it should kick in on the 9th US-time. I am told by friends in China that they currently don't actually see the 104% yet even though they are obviously aware it's going to happen.
Why stop at 60%?
He has also said “100, 200, 2000% tariffs”
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