This market evaluates the competitive landscape between DeepSeek and ChatGPT. DeepSeek launched in January 2025 and quickly became the #2 AI chatbot globally. By February 2025, DeepSeek had captured 15% of ChatGPT's mobile user base. This market assesses whether DeepSeek can overtake ChatGPT in total user base by the end of summer 2025.

Resolution Criteria: Official user metrics or reports from Similarweb and Sensor Tower comparing the monthly active users of both platforms. If either platform ceases to exist by the resolution date, the market will resolve as NO.

References:

• https://a16z.com/100-gen-ai-apps-4/