Tadej Pogačar in Pro Cycling Stats top 5 before retirement?
6
1kṀ555
2035
70%
chance

If Tadej Pogačar is ranked 5th or better in the Pro Cycling Stats all-time ranking at any time before he retires, resolves YES. If, following the first update to the rankings following his last race before retirement, he is ranked 6th or lower, resolves NO.

The current rankings are shown here:
https://www.procyclingstats.com/rankings/me/all-time

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bought Ṁ250 YES

I think the real odds on this are probably ~80-90%, but sinking that much mana into a market that probably won't resolve for another 3-5 years is a tough sell

bought Ṁ50 YES

@RedzoneITG your positions are loaned back to you at 1.5% per day, so you will have almost all your capital back within a few months. Betting on a 5 year market is roughly equal to betting on a 1 year market.

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