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MANIFOLD
Tadej Pogačar in Pro Cycling Stats top 5 before retirement?
12
Ṁ1kṀ9.4k
resolved Jun 24
Resolved
YES

If Tadej Pogačar is ranked 5th or better in the Pro Cycling Stats all-time ranking at any time before he retires, resolves YES. If, following the first update to the rankings following his last race before retirement, he is ranked 6th or lower, resolves NO.

The current rankings are shown here:
https://www.procyclingstats.com/rankings/me/all-time

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bought Ṁ5,768 YES

Resolves YES @meefburger

@RedzoneITG Thanks!

bought Ṁ1,050 YES

Adjusted to 90% based on his actions so far this season. He could be really quite close by a year from now.

bought Ṁ250 YES

I think the real odds on this are probably ~80-90%, but sinking that much mana into a market that probably won't resolve for another 3-5 years is a tough sell

bought Ṁ50 YES

@RedzoneITG your positions are loaned back to you at 1.5% per day, so you will have almost all your capital back within a few months. Betting on a 5 year market is roughly equal to betting on a 1 year market.

@RedzoneITG how foolish I was

@RedzoneITG It would help if you became an avid cycling fan, in order to keep up with the news and trends.

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