Will the epicenter of 2024’s largest earthquake be on land?
3
46
70
2025
47%
chance

Per Wikipedia (once published).

Will the exact latitude and longitude of the largest earthquake of 2024 be over land? Obviously sea-centered earthquakes resolve NO. As do earthquakes on bodies of water (for rivers we may really need to zoom).

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Regarding this part of the criteria...

As do earthquakes on bodies of water (for rivers we may really need to zoom).

Things are not so clear: https://www.earthquakecountry.org/putting-down-roots/measuring/

We define the epicenter of an earthquake with the latitude and longitude of a point, but the earthquake is bigger than that point. The fault’s rupture surface can be hundreds of kilometers long and several kilometers wide, and even the epicenter can only be determined within a few tenths of a kilometer. Therefore, giving the location of an earthquake in terms of city streets is like giving the location of your city by the address of City Hall.

Then of course, for big earthquakes near the coastline, there's the issue that the seismic activity itself might cause a given latitude-longitude point to move from being on land to underwater or vice versa. Strong temblors can raise land by several meters.

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The Sea of Japan earthquake, 2024’s largest so far at a magnitude of 7.5, was over land

(map source).