Will Nikki Haley get more than 25% of the vote in any closed primaries?
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Ṁ4212resolved Mar 10
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There are 12 states with closed primaries: Delaware, Florida, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Wyoming. Will Nikki Haley earn more than 25.0% of the vote in any of those contests?
This is only counting contests which give delegates (so the Nevada primary wouldn’t count, only the Nevada caucus).
Resolves NO once Nikki Haley drops out of the race for president, or June 4th, the date of the final primaries (New Mexico and New Jersey)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I think this can resolve YES. She has 25.4% in Maine with more than 95% in. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/05/us/elections/results-maine-republican-presidential-primary.html. Hasn't changed in hours so I think the votes are done coming in.