Will another aid worker die by air strike in Gaza in 2024?
42
126
Ṁ3KṀ900
2025
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: Israel plans to adjust Gaza war tactics after killing of aid workers
Will they fail to adjust? Will another aid worker die in Gaza by air strike in 2024?
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Apparently the count from October 23 to March 24 is 196 aid workers dead (unknown how many but most due as a result of air strikes). So unless they shift away from air strikes big time or we get a soon and lasting intermission in fighting, I don't see how this resolves no.
@sarius
they actually did, there are very few airstrikes now. and also many aid organizations withdraw from gaza, so it might be no
@JacobMalach as opposed to a Gazan one? Very likely the aid worker will have been foreign, as I’m unaware of any Gazan aid organizations, but that shouldn’t be prohibitive.
More related questions
Related questions
Will there be a violent incident around the new Gaza port in 2024?
60% chance
Will there be a massacre around the new Gaza port in 2024?
42% chance
Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?
76% chance
Will Egyptian security forces kill more than 100 Gazan refugees in 2024?
40% chance
Will there be a ceasefire in Gaza by Eoy 2024?
70% chance
Will another person immolate themself in 2024 as a protest against the Israeli destruction of Gaza?
16% chance
Will the blockade on Gaza end before 2026?
49% chance
Will there be another IDF assault on al-Shifa hospital before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will more than 5% of Gazans be killed during the ongoing war between IDF and Hamas by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
59% chance