When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫
21
Ṁ1kṀ4.3k2031
1%
2024
2%
2025
17%
2026
16%
2027
64%
We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia. Entries will need to remain up for 14 consecutive days for this to Resolve YES.
Market will extend as needed.
Previous entries include:
Jan 6th, 2021
CHOP in Seattle [2020]
Occupation of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge [2016]
…
American Civil War [1865]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Summer of 2026: Major Unrest in the USA?
63% chance
Will There be a Civil War or Violent Revolution in USA by 2030?
25% chance
When will there be a civil war in the USA?
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?
51% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
72% chance