If Oasis reforms, will the band stay together for a full year?
Mini
11
Ṁ443
2025
67%
chance
This market is no longer conditional. Oasis are back baby! [image]

If Noel and Liam Gallagher announce that they’re reforming the band (as is being teased for an August 27th announcement), will the band still be together one year later? They’ve been known to have a… rocky relationship.

Resolves N/A if Oasis doesn’t announce plans to reform within 3 months.

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This market is no longer conditional. Oasis are back baby!

If they announce a one off string of dates in 2024, then dont perform at all in 2025, but also don’t rule out future shows, how does this resolve?

yes, if the two stay together functionally for their entire planned engagement, and don’t have a major falling out afterwards, that would Resolve YES.

The Jonas Brothers broke up, and then reformed. They’re not always making music now, but they’re still together.

What if they stay together for the planned engagement, which is planned to be less than a year?

Again, if they’re amicable, I’m going to consider the band together. This market is about their falling out / breaking up. In lieu of that, we can assume Oasis is still together.