By 2034, will most Americans leave the house with only their phones (no wallet or keys)? | Manifold

By 2034, will most Americans leave the house with only their phones (no wallet or keys)?

35

1kṀ2092

2034

25%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Currently most of us leave the house with phone, wallet and keys.

Increasingly, phones are able to act as both a wallet and keys.

This will resolve to Yes if there is a reputable survey that demonstrates that the majority of Americans adults (18+) use their phones as their primary method of payment and keys (car and house) and answer some version of the question

“When you leave your home, what combination of phone, wallet and keys do you usually take?”

with the answer “Phones only”

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