Will Germany's GDP grow in 2024?
27
67
1k
Dec 31
56%
chance

The German Economic Institute forecasts -0,5% GDP growth for 2024 according to this news article.

For resolution, I'll be using the price-adjusted GDP (preisbereinigtes BIP) from Destatis.

This is different than a "recession" (two consecutive quarters of negative growth).

Resolves YES if Destatis shows more than 0% GDP growth.

Resolves NO if Destatus shows 0% or less GDP growth. I'm not sure how they round, so +0,049% could result in NO if they publish it as "0,0%".

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