Which party will gain votes in the 2024 European Parliament election?
EU '24 🇪🇺•Elections•Subsidy Spotlight•Elections: World•European Union•2024 European Parliament elections (EP2024)
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Jun 9
[image]Screenshot of current polls from the link in the description. On that page it is interactive though. 😉
Oct 10
End of year status. Difference from last election as shown in the description (different than poll data!) to Dec 23 poll data. EPP: +2% S&D: +0.02% RE: -1.6% ID: +1.5% G/EFA: -3% ECR: +4% NI: -0.3%
Dec 31
72%
EPP
50%
S&D
26%
RE
64%
ID
9%
G/EFA
77%
ECR
50%
GUE/NGL
32%
NI

In the 2019 European Parliament election the largest parties got the following vote shares:

Note that Brexit happened since then and note that this is about votes, not seats. The number of total seats changed since the last election so vote share feels more intuitive.

Current polls are available here, for example.

This resolves YES for every party that gets a higher share of the votes in the 2024 election.

Resolves NO for every party that gets a lower or equal share.

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End of year status. Difference from last election as shown in the description (different than poll data!) to Dec 23 poll data.

EPP: +2%
S&D: +0.02%

RE: -1.6%

ID: +1.5%
G/EFA: -3%

ECR: +4%

GUE/NGL: +0.3%
NI: -0.3%

bought Ṁ10 of RE NO

Screenshot of current polls from the link in the description. On that page it is interactive though. 😉

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