Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?
29
1.2kṀ13k
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
YES
D66 (>9)
Resolved
YES
CDA (>5)
Resolved
YES
FVD (>3)
Resolved
YES
JA21 (>1)
Resolved
YES
50PLUS (>0)
Resolved
NO
PVV (>37)
Resolved
NO
GL-PVDA (>25)
Resolved
NO
VVD (>24)
Resolved
NO
NSC (>20)
Resolved
NO
BBB (>7)
Resolved
NO
SP (>5)
Resolved
NO
SGP (>3)
Resolved
NO
DENK (>3)
Resolved
NO
PVDD (>3)
Resolved
NO
CU (>3)
Resolved
NO
VOLT (>2)
Resolved
NO
BIJ1 (>0)
Resolved
NO
BVNL (>0)
Resolved
NO
Any party founded after the 2023 election (>0)

Compared to the results of the 2023 election. Answers resolve YES if they have at least one seat more after the next election than they did immediately after the 2023 election. Otherwise NO.

The Netherlands
Nederland
CDA
BoerBurgerBeweging
SP
2023 Dutch Tweede Kamer Election
PVV
VVD
GL-PVDA
Nieuw Sociaal Contract
D66
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Related market: https://manifold.markets/Lemming/which-political-parties-will-form-t?r=TGVtbWluZw

Out of curiosity, would FNP be considered a newly founded party?

sold Ṁ5 NO

@jskf How does this resolve for fusion parties, which are created from the merger of other parties which lose their original names?

Added current seat count to all the answers. There haven't been any trades on this for 2 months so I assume there's some corrections to be made :P

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