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MANIFOLD
GDP in 2028 if a democrat gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized]
7
Ṁ785Ṁ132
resolved Nov 11
ResolvedN/A
15%
33
11%
34
21%
36
25%
35
29%Other

In 2024 a democrat, like Joe Biden, might be elected (again) and should then be president until 2028, the next election.

According to FRED, the US annual GDP in 2022 was 25 trillion USD (more precisely, 25462.722 billion USD). The average over the last ten years was an increase of 4.64% per year. Extrapolating that to 2028 results in 34 trillion USD.

Resolves to the rounded trillion dollar value FRED will eventually publish for GDPA 2028. Rounding mode is half up, so 25.49 rounds to 25 but 25.50 rounds to 26.

Resolves NA immediately if the president elected in 2024 is not a democrat.

Leave a comment if you want me to add another integer to answers. I want to keep the number of answers small but also minimize the "Other" answer.

See also: /marktweise/gdp-in-2028-if-a-republican-gets-el

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2024 US Presidential Election
Joe Biden
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@marktwse resolves NA

@mods Would you resolve to NA? Can't do it myself.

I guess I’d ask for 35 to be added as an intermediate between 34 and 36

@Trifalcon Ooops. Good point! 😅

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