Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?
25
1kṀ1969
2030
30%
chance

As of now people are debating about existential risk due to misalignment, technological unemployment, lack of security in critical applications, fairness/equity/inclusion issues among others. Will something completely different and very important be generally considered the main risk of AI in 2030? Resolves on Dec 31, 2030 based on the consensus of researchers in 2030.

  • Update 2024-25-12 (PST): - Lack of security in critical applications includes risks such as AI-enabled bioterrorism. (AI summary of creator comment)

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