In which year will the Eglinton Crosstown be completed in Toronto?
23
1kṀ5753
2030
0.6%
2024
56%
2025
41%
2026
1.1%
2027
0.4%
2028
0.4%
2029
0.4%
2030+

Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Line_5_Eglinton

Resolves once the first rider actually uses the line, or if we enter 2030 without completion.

  • Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Phased/partial openings count if the public can meaningfully use some portion of the line (regular passenger service).

    • Does not count: non-operational openings like a single station open for tours only.

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The Star is reporting that the line may open “in phases”. How does this affect market resolution? Is an opening of any kind “completed”?

https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/eglinton-crosstown-lrt-expected-to-hit-a-major-milestone-this-week/article_65a415f1-a676-471d-bc62-2449c1a5b512.html

@hwilkinson ughhh. Okay, any kind of opening counts, as long as the public can use some portion of the line meaningfully. A single station being open for tours or something would not count.

@Seanny123 truly so embarrassing that I got so excited by an anonymous source and bet a ridiculous amount

@Seanny123 was there recent news that made you less confident now?

@makeworld no just re-reading the news that excited with fresh eyes and realizing I updated incorrectly

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/metrolink-eglinton-crosstown-opening-lrt-1.7044833?cmp=rss

From the article we can conclude that until Metrolinx makes an announcement, the lower bound on opening time is 3 months.

Never

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