Will I believe TPOT is publicly perceived as an extremist group by March 1st, 2025
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10
Ṁ1833Mar 2
11%
chance
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This market resolves based on my personal assessment of whether TPOT (This Part of Twitter) is generally perceived by the public as an extremist group (akin to QAnon, Antifa, or White Supremacists) on March 1st, 2025. Resolution will be determined by my evaluation of mainstream media coverage, social media discourse, and any official designations by watchdog organizations like the ADL or SPLC by March 1st, 2025.
Resolution criteria:
YES if I determine TPOT is widely characterized as an extremist movement
NO if I determine TPOT is not widely characterized as extremist, or if insufficient evidence exists to make this determination
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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