
Will o3 cause public protests until June 2025?
14
100Ṁ894resolved Jul 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market resolves YES if there was at least one protest with more than 100 participants because of OpenAIs o3 model until June 2025. The protest can be advocating for e.g. AI safety in general, but has to reasonably link to the o3 model (e.g. o3 getting named as an explicit danger/reason in announcements, interviews, speeches, ...).
The topic of the protest does not have to be alignment. Environmental, labour market or power concentration concerns count as long as o3 is one of the direct causes.
(I won't trade)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ18 | |
2 | Ṁ15 | |
3 | Ṁ10 | |
4 | Ṁ9 | |
5 | Ṁ6 |
People are also trading
Related questions
📢✊ In what countries will mass public protests start in 2025?
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
17% chance
ILM protests in Summer 2025?
45% chance
Large anti-AI protest in a Western country by EOY2025?
15% chance
>100K protest in DC before 2026?
73% chance
Will organizers and leaders of protests against Donald Trump in the summer of 2025 be arrested and face federal changes?
70% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
29% chance