If nothing happens, this market will close at the EOY in 2030 and "Neither" will resolve as "YES".
If I have to resolve this (with e/acc or AI safety) before the end date, I'll take my time to be sure that I fix this correctly.
I won't bet on this market despite my strong bias. I can still go ahead and resolve this with integrity if there's a need.
Related questions
@VAPOR Great question. My threshold is relatively low at the moment.
The way that I'm going to resolve this is with any violent act with at least one victim meant to trigger fear or bodily harm to advance one's political or philosophical goals.
Fear-mongering isn't a violent act, whereas death threats are. And I'm not aware of any public death threats at this moment or any violent acts.
You might disagree with my threshold, but I disagree even more with using violence in any disagreement.
@FlorinSays set the bar low enough, including bomb threats, and third parties will "just a prank bro" call them in on the other side's blame just to create drama, also the kidnap letter from the movies with the letters cut out from magazines... You need to have the FBI be the verification in this kind of event
@VAPOR I understand what you're trying to convey, and I'll keep this in mind. Drama is below my resolution bar.
This isn't going to be an easy resolution. So I will take my time and explain my thoughts in public.
Hopefully, I won't be forced into an early resolution.